Global Climate

Uncertainty for Everyone The one thing that is certain about the world is that the world is uncertain. I have here, the question that apart of the matter, living matter, has to resolve in each and every one of its moments of existance. The environment of a living being is apart of the living being where it turns out, the rest of the living beings live. This is the drama of life on earth. Every living individual debates with his environment, exchanging matter, energy and information in the hope of staying alive, the same as all living beings who share that same environment. The adven ture of a living being (of all living beings ) is to maintain reasonable independ ence in face ofthe fluctuations ofuncertainty within the environment. The range of restrictions and mutual relationships is colossal. How is the tran seendental pretension of staying alive regulated? There is an equation imposed by the laws ofthermodynamics and the mathematical theory ofinformation about the interaction ofa living being with his environment which we could state like this: The complexity 01 a living individual plus his capacity for anticipation in re spect to his environment is identical to the uncertainty of the environmentplus the capacity of that living being to change the environment.

I:.- 1 What we know about the Climate System? A brief review of current research.- 2 Why Global Warming Is A Controversial Issue.- 3 El Niño: A Predictable Climate Fluctuation.- 4 Climate Information Systems and Their Applications.- II:.- 5 An Introduction to Ocean Climate Modeling.- 6 An Introduction to Linear Predictability Analysis.- 7 Carbon Cycling over Lands and Oceans.- 8 Changes in the Global Carbon Cycle and Ocean Circulation on the Millennial Time Scale.- 9 Understanding Future Climate Change Using Paleorecords.- 10 The Indian Monsoon and its Relation to Global Climate Variability.- 11 Interactions between the Tropics and Extratropics. A bit on theory, results and prospects for future predictability.