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Autor: Peter Hingley
ISBN-13: 9783540359913
Einband: Buch
Seiten: 267
Gewicht: 556 g
Format: 244x164x23 mm
Sprache: Englisch

Forecasting Innovations

Methods for Predicting Numbers of Patent Filings
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This is a practical guide to solutions for a case study of forecasting demand for services and products in international markets - and so much more than just another listing of dry theoretical methods. Leading experts present studies on improvements to methods for forecasting numbers of incoming patent filings at the European Patent Office. Studies are presented from econometric, survey and systems theory viewpoints. A recurring theme is the extent to which it is worthwhile to break down the components of the forecasting problem into classes based on geography, technical descriptions and sub-products. The contributions are reviewed by the practitioners of the existing methods, who discover that it may not always be wise to put complete trust in established regression approaches. Along the road the reader will also learn more about the patent system, debatably the best way for society to harness the forces of human invention.
Studies forecasting demand for products and services, with a crucial difference
Background.- A research programme for improving forecasts of patent filings.- From theory to time series.- An assessment of the comparative accuracy of time series forecasts of patent filings: the benefits of disaggregation in space or time.- Driving forces of patent applications at the European Patent Office: a sectoral approach.- Time series methods to forecast patent filings.- International patenting at the European Patent Office: aggregate, sectoral and family filings.- Micro data for macro effects.- Improving forecasting methods at the European Patent Office.

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Autor: Peter Hingley
ISBN-13 :: 9783540359913
ISBN: 3540359915
Erscheinungsjahr: 01.08.2006
Verlag: Springer-Verlag GmbH
Gewicht: 556g
Seiten: 267
Sprache: Englisch
Sonstiges: Buch, 244x164x23 mm, 24 Fig., 71 Tab.