The Future of Global Conflict

This critical analysis of long-term trends and recent developments in world systems examines such questions as: Will the cycles of boom and bust, peace and war of the past 500 years continue? Or have either long-term trends or recent changes so profoundly altered the structure of world systems that these cycles will end or take on a less destructive form?

Introduction - Christopher Chase-Dunn and Volker Bornschier The Future of Hegemonic Rivalry in PerspectivePART ONE: DIFFERENT PREDICTIONS FOR THE FUTUREFrom Leadership to Organization - George Modelski The Evolution of Global PoliticsThe Next World War - Christopher Chase-Dunn and Bruce Podobnik World-System Cycles and TrendsBeyond Cycles of Hegemony - Walter L Goldfrank Economic, Social and Military FactorsHegemonic Transition, West European Unification and the Future Structure of the Core - Volker BornschierPART TWO: POST-WAR SHIFTS IN THE WORLD POLITICAL ECONOMYGlobal Cooperation or Rival Trade Blocs? - Gerd JunneClashes of Life Spaces and Other Logics of Hegemonic Rivalry - Tieting SuWho Has the Most Fortune 500 Firms? A Network Analysis of Global Economic Competition, 1956-89 - Albert Bergesen and Roberto FernandezTwenty-Fifty - John Borrego The Hegemonic Moment of Global CapitalismPART THREE: PROSPECTS FOR POTENTIAL FUTURE HEGEMONSJapan - A Hegemonic Power? Reflections on Economic Success and Possible Political Futures - Yasusada YawataGermany, the United States and Future Intercore Conflict - Brigitte SchulzFuture Hegemonic Rivalry between China and the West? - Erich WeedePART FOUR: LOOKING BACK AND AHEADHegemony and Bifurcation Points in World History - Terry BoswellTechnological Change, Globalization and Hegemonic Rivalry - Volker Bornschier and Christopher Chase-Dunn